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    "story_id": "mp-2026-11-01-005",
    "source_story_id": "tmp-story-wxcrop-agricultural-loss",
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    "headline": "The Weather Agent Prices the Crop Risk",
    "slug": "the-weather-agent-prices-the-crop-risk",
    "dek": "A Florida prototype reproduced held-out recorded losses within 2 percent and ranked county outcomes against independent production data.",
    "summary": "A Florida prototype reproduced held-out recorded losses within 2 percent and ranked county outcomes against independent production data.",
    "body_text": "A storm forecast identifies weather, not which crops will lose value. WxCrop links physically interpretable weather indices with insurance and agricultural records to estimate crop loss for hurricanes, freezes and dry heat in Florida. The hurricane index detected recorded cyclone days at 0.98 AUC; held-out recorded losses were reproduced within 2 percent, and county rankings correlated 0.63 with independent production records. The interface sources each reported number. The results are a Florida demonstration calibrated to specific records, so extension to other hazards and regions remains a claim to test rather than an established deployment result.",
    "why_it_matters": "A Florida prototype reproduced held-out recorded losses within 2 percent and ranked county outcomes against independent production data.",
    "limitations": [
      "A storm forecast identifies weather, not which crops will lose value."
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        "text": "A Florida prototype reproduced held-out recorded losses within 2 percent and ranked county outcomes against independent production data.",
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        "qualification": "A storm forecast identifies weather, not which crops will lose value."
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    "tags": [
      "agriculture",
      "weather",
      "agents",
      "risk"
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    "corrections": []
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  "sources": [
    {
      "source_id": "source-2026-11-01-005",
      "title": "arXiv preprint 2610.40641, original v1",
      "publisher": "arXiv",
      "url": "https://arxiv.org/abs/2610.40641v1",
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      "published_at": "2026-10-28T20:00:00.000-04:00",
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    "name": "The Machine Press",
    "url": "https://themachinepress.com",
    "description": "A daily newspaper for the age of artificial intelligence."
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  "cite_this_report": {
    "title": "The Weather Agent Prices the Crop Risk",
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