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The Cheap Classifier Knows When to Hand Off

On one 47,837-ticket corpus, calibrated TF-IDF routing cut the illustrative test cost 38.1 percent and wrong routes from 15.3 to 3.5 percent.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-10-23-009
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Summary

On one 47,837-ticket corpus, calibrated TF-IDF routing cut the illustrative test cost 38.1 percent and wrong routes from 15.3 to 3.5 percent.

Misrouting an IT ticket may cost more than asking a person to triage it. Under an illustrative cost model where a wrong route costs five times a human deferral, a calibrated TF-IDF logistic-regression system reduced test cost from 0.763 to 0.472 and cut wrong routes from 15.3 to 3.5 percent. The strongest prompted large-language-model configuration reached 0.477 accuracy on a 1,000-ticket subset, versus 0.879 for fine-tuned DistilBERT. Several prompted systems deferred everything at the break-even threshold. The study is a readiness framework for one dataset and cost model, not a universal verdict on language models or support operations.

Why it matters

On one 47,837-ticket corpus, calibrated TF-IDF routing cut the illustrative test cost 38.1 percent and wrong routes from 15.3 to 3.5 percent.

Limits and context

  • The study is a readiness framework for one dataset and cost model, not a universal verdict on language models or support operations.

Key claims

  1. On one 47,837-ticket corpus, calibrated TF-IDF routing cut the illustrative test cost 38.1 percent and wrong routes from 15.3 to 3.5 percent.

    Qualification: The study is a readiness framework for one dataset and cost model, not a universal verdict on language models or support operations.

    Evidence: source-2026-10-23-009

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2610.31657, original v1arXiv · primary research

Corrections

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