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The Best Agent Reproduced Only 14 Percent of the Papers

PAPERBENCHX replays submissions from scratch across 93 expert-built tasks and 12 scientific areas, scoring regenerated evidence rather than plausible-looking outputs.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-10-30-008
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Summary

PAPERBENCHX replays submissions from scratch across 93 expert-built tasks and 12 scientific areas, scoring regenerated evidence rather than plausible-looking outputs.

Before an AI system discovers new science, it should be able to reproduce established results. PAPERBENCHX spans 93 expert-constructed tasks in 12 areas, including electromagnetics, photonics, chemistry, materials, biology and robotics. Agents receive a paper, a task specification and a domain-native software environment, then must rebuild an experiment and produce a runnable workflow. Every submission is replayed from scratch and only regenerated evidence is scored. Across 10 frontier-agent configurations, the best fully reproduced 14 percent of tasks at the 90 percent threshold; mean rubric scores ranged from 27.53 to 59.08 percent. The benchmark measures computational reproduction, not all of science, but shows how partial progress can look much stronger than end-to-end evidence.

Why it matters

PAPERBENCHX replays submissions from scratch across 93 expert-built tasks and 12 scientific areas, scoring regenerated evidence rather than plausible-looking outputs.

Limits and context

  • Every submission is replayed from scratch and only regenerated evidence is scored.
  • The benchmark measures computational reproduction, not all of science, but shows how partial progress can look much stronger than end-to-end evidence.

Key claims

  1. PAPERBENCHX replays submissions from scratch across 93 expert-built tasks and 12 scientific areas, scoring regenerated evidence rather than plausible-looking outputs.

    Qualification: Every submission is replayed from scratch and only regenerated evidence is scored.

    Evidence: source-2026-10-30-008

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2610.39744, original v1arXiv · primary research

Corrections

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