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One Weather Model Changed Its Clock at Inference

GEM-3 trades short-range detail against rollout stability by selecting among trained timesteps without changing weights.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-08-07-017
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Summary

GEM-3 trades short-range detail against rollout stability by selecting among trained timesteps without changing weights.

The 134-million-parameter global model uses mixed-timestep training and lets inference choose a forecast step. Its authors report near-state-of-the-art probabilistic medium-range skill and more stable long rollouts than timestep-specialist variants.

Why it matters

GEM-3 trades short-range detail against rollout stability by selecting among trained timesteps without changing weights.

Limits and context

No additional limitation was separately recorded.

Key claims

  1. GEM-3 trades short-range detail against rollout stability by selecting among trained timesteps without changing weights.

    Evidence: source-2026-08-07-019

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2608.06241arXiv · primary research

Corrections

No corrections have been recorded for this story.

One Weather Model Changed Its Clock at Inference · The Machine Press