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Two Wavelengths Found No Shared Black-Hole Clock

A cross-band search found no coherent X-ray and optical periodicity, then converted the null result into an amplitude-dependent population limit.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-08-18-012
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Summary

A cross-band search found no coherent X-ray and optical periodicity, then converted the null result into an amplitude-dependent population limit.

The study searched 1,194 Swift-BAT active galactic nuclei and a second stage of 175 4XMM-DR14 objects, requiring individually significant X-ray and optical periods to agree within five percent. No co-periodic candidate survived. For 100- to 900-day periods, the completeness-corrected 95 percent upper limit falls below about three percent only when hard-X-ray fractional modulation is at least 0.3; sensitivity becomes weak at lower amplitudes. The null therefore constrains loud shared clocks, not the existence of all supermassive black-hole binaries.

Why it matters

A cross-band search found no coherent X-ray and optical periodicity, then converted the null result into an amplitude-dependent population limit.

Limits and context

  • For 100- to 900-day periods, the completeness-corrected 95 percent upper limit falls below about three percent only when hard-X-ray fractional modulation is at least 0.3; sensitivity becomes weak at lower amplitudes.
  • The null therefore constrains loud shared clocks, not the existence of all supermassive black-hole binaries.

Key claims

  1. A cross-band search found no coherent X-ray and optical periodicity, then converted the null result into an amplitude-dependent population limit.

    Qualification: For 100- to 900-day periods, the completeness-corrected 95 percent upper limit falls below about three percent only when hard-X-ray fractional modulation is at least 0.3; sensitivity becomes weak at lower amplitudes.

    Evidence: source-2026-08-18-012

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2608.16787arXiv · primary research

Corrections

No corrections have been recorded for this story.