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The Error Bar Stayed Small While the Astrometry Drifted

ADORA simulations showed high-order wavefront mismatch could bias a solution without widening its local uncertainty.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-08-21-019
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Summary

ADORA simulations showed high-order wavefront mismatch could bias a solution without widening its local uncertainty.

The differentiable optical model jointly estimates astrometric and instrument state for the proposed SHERA mission. Matched simulations reached roughly 11 microarcseconds scatter, but unmodeled wavefront error produced strong bias with deceptively small posterior sigma.

Why it matters

ADORA simulations showed high-order wavefront mismatch could bias a solution without widening its local uncertainty.

Limits and context

No additional limitation was separately recorded.

Key claims

  1. ADORA simulations showed high-order wavefront mismatch could bias a solution without widening its local uncertainty.

    Evidence: source-2026-08-21-021

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2608.19409arXiv · primary research

Corrections

No corrections have been recorded for this story.