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Agents Can Be Mapped Without Running New Rollouts

Centered action likelihoods on shared trajectories locate model-and-harness combinations by what they would do.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-10-22-014
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Summary

Centered action likelihoods on shared trajectories locate model-and-harness combinations by what they would do.

Agent Behavior Maps compare action log-likelihoods on the same reference trajectories instead of launching each target agent in a fresh environment. Across eight cross-scored models, distances followed measured trajectory divergence in rank order. Across 100 language models and four environments, ALFWorld-derived coordinates predicted performance and exposed behavioral similarities that persisted after controlling for success rate and model size. The guarantees depend on explicit assumptions, and the map is not a substitute for deployment testing.

Why it matters

Centered action likelihoods on shared trajectories locate model-and-harness combinations by what they would do.

Limits and context

  • The guarantees depend on explicit assumptions, and the map is not a substitute for deployment testing.

Key claims

  1. Centered action likelihoods on shared trajectories locate model-and-harness combinations by what they would do.

    Qualification: The guarantees depend on explicit assumptions, and the map is not a substitute for deployment testing.

    Evidence: source-2026-10-22-014

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2610.30014, original v1arXiv · primary research

Corrections

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