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The Robot Chooses a Skill for When It Will Actually Start

Time-indexed success models plan around 100-to-300-millisecond delays instead of pretending the observed scene will wait.

Published Updated Story ID: mp-2026-11-07-006
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Summary

Time-indexed success models plan around 100-to-300-millisecond delays instead of pretending the observed scene will wait.

A receding-horizon planner predicts whole-task success for both a skill and a future launch time. In a simulated sliding-puck task, it beat a static competence model by 2.8 to 6.2 percentage points across 100 to 300 milliseconds of latency and was substantially better calibrated. On a real UR5e catching a rolling ball after an injected 0.2-second delay, the static model predicted 99 percent success for a prespecified subset but observed 63 percent; the time-indexed model predicted 56 percent. The hardware evidence is narrow, but it exposes the cost of ignoring latency.

Why it matters

Time-indexed success models plan around 100-to-300-millisecond delays instead of pretending the observed scene will wait.

Limits and context

No additional limitation was separately recorded.

Key claims

  1. Time-indexed success models plan around 100-to-300-millisecond delays instead of pretending the observed scene will wait.

    Evidence: source-2026-11-07-006

Sources

  1. arXiv preprint 2611.07964, original v1arXiv · primary research

Corrections

: Publication note: This November 7 edition was assembled before its scheduled 9:00 AM America/Detroit reveal but is being published late after recovery from a local build interruption. Its original reporting, image-generation times and scheduled publishAt are preserved.